Faulty Sign / Faulty Predictor Fallacy
The faulty predictor fallacy is one of the many smokescreens that are used to cover the fact that the reasoning is based on one of the three fallacies of Agrippa's trilemma. Whenever a logical fallacy is committed, the fallacy has its roots in Agrippa's trilemma. All human thought (without Divine revelation) is based on one of three unhappy possibilities. These three possibilities are infinite regress, circular reasoning, or axiomatic thinking. This problem is known as Agrippa's trilemma. Some have claimed that only logic and math can be known without Divine revelation; however, that is not true. There is no reason to trust either logic or math without Divine revelation. Science is also limited to the pragmatic because of the weakness on human reasoning, which is known as Agrippa's trilemma.
The Logical Fallacy of Faulty Sign / Faulty Predictor occurs when an observable event or circumstance is erroneously assumed to be a predictor of another event or circumstance.
Examples of the Logical Fallacy of Faulty Sign / Faulty Predictor Fallacy
Polls are often faulty predictors.
The science behind the global warming predictions turned out to be a faulty predictor as temperatures have not raised as the science had foretold.
The Big-Bang-Billions-of-Years-No-Flood-Molecules-to-Man story has proven to be a faulty predictor in many areas of observational science.
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Last updated: Sep, 2014
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